Real-time estimation and prediction for pandemic A/H1N1 (2009) in Japan


Unfortunately, confirmation and notification of all A/H1N1 (2009) patients in Japan was ceased on 24 July when the cumulative number of patients was about 5000. After that, as all suspected patients are not necessarily confirmed or reported, the only official surveillance was the sentinel surveillance for influenza-like-illness (ILI) patients from 5000 clinics accounting for almost 10% of all clinics and hospitals in Japan. However, because the surveillance results are reported weekly, it tends to lack timeliness. To collect and analyze the information in more timely manner, we, Infectious Disease Surveillance Center, National Institute of Infectious Diseases, developed a full automatic daily reporting system of ILI patients. Using this information, we had estimated Rv and predict its course in every week.


This paper summarized our effort for real-time estimation of pandemic influenza A/H1N1pdm in Japan.

Primary Topic Areas: 
Original Publication Year: 
Event/Publication Date: 
December, 2010

June 21, 2019

Contact Us

National Syndromic
Surveillance Program

The National Syndromic Surveillance Program (NSSP) is a collaboration among states and public health jurisdictions that contribute data to the BioSense Platform, public health practitioners who use local syndromic surveillance systems, Center for Disease Control and Prevention programs, other federal agencies, partner organizations, hospitals, healthcare professionals, and academic institutions.

Site created by Fusani Applications